Prediction Market Category Outcomes Fee Volume Days
Will the S&P 500 close above 3,000 on November 2nd, 2020? Business & Finance
87%
13%
2.0% $94,535.2 11
Will there be at least 3 Million transactions on Ethereum in the first 7 days of November with a gas price >100 GWEI? Cryptocurrency
41%
59%
2.0% $22,189.3 15
Will Ethereum's Berlin hardfork happen in 2020? Cryptocurrency
47%
53%
2.0% $29,036.4 69
Will Trump get reelected in 2020? News & Politics
50%
50%
2.0% $2,230.3 10
Will Joe Biden win the 2020 United States presidential election? News & Politics
60%
40%
2.0% $171,638.9 57
Will Gnosis Protocol have at least 1 billion USD worth of trading volume in 2020? cryptocurrency
10%
90%
2.0% $1,364.9 74
Will the Conditional Token Framework Contract with address 0xC59b0e4De5F1248C1140964E0fF287B192407E0C hold more than 2 000 000 USD worth of ERC 20 tokens by 1st November 2020 UTC12:00:00? cryptocurrency
70%
30%
2.0% $2,874.6 13
Will Bitcoin dominance be below 50% at any time in January 2021 according to https://coinmarketcap.com/charts/#dominance-percentage Cryptocurrency
39%
61%
2.0% $395.0 105
Will the MYX Network token ($MYX) trade above 200,000 MYX per ETH on Uniswap V2 by October 1st, 2020? cryptocurrency
88%
12%
2.0% $296.2 -16
Will DXdao's dxtrust curve be altered from its initial design by October 31st, 2020? (source: https://dxtrust.eth.link/#/) cryptocurrency
87%
13%
3.0% $244.3 13
Will there be more than 30 000 addresses holding at least 0.01 YFI in November 2020? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
4.0% $217.4 16
Will withdrawal_credentials be able to point to an ETH1 address when Ethereum 2.0 phase 0 is launched? (https://github.com/ethereum/eth2.0-specs/issues/2040) cryptocurrency
20%
80%
2.0% $197.5 38
Will Kanye West win the United States presidential election? News & Politics
4%
96%
2.0% $3,889.9 57
Who will win the 2020 United States presidential election? News & Politics
42%
52%
6%
1.5% $250.8 58
Will Gnosis ($GNO) Trade above $50 at the end of the year? Cryptocurrency
24%
76%
2.0% $59.2 76
Will Compound, Aave, or dYdX announce a smart contract bug or loss of user funds before December 31, 2020? cryptocurrency
79%
21%
2.0% $54.3 69
Will Coinbase tokeninze any amount of its public shares within 1 month of its IPO? Business & Finance
50%
50%
2.0% $39.5 84
How many Total Users will Omen have at the end of October 31, 2020? (Source: https://explore.duneanalytics.com/dashboard/omen-stats) cryptocurrency
51%
24%
24%
0.5% $25.1 14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above 100K on the BTC/USD pair on Coinbase Pro, any time before 1 January 2022? (If Coinbase has ceased to exist by the expiration date of this market, then any other highly reputable AND regulated exchange with a BTC/USD price above 100K fulfils the requirement). cryptocurrency
49%
51%
2.0% $19.7 450
When will Alex Masmej ($ALEX) move to SF? Cryptocurrency
4%
4%
93%
2.0% $10.7 76
What is the outcome of the "United States of America vs. Virgil Griffith" case? news & politics
13%
13%
13%
62%
2.0% $9.9 159
Will the Ethereum block gas limit be >= 25,000,000 gas in any block on April 1st 2021? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $9.7 160
How many unique livestream viewers will the first MetaMedia livestream have (Friday, 7/17)? The calculation is for total unique viewers (not necessarily concurrent) & the two co-hosts (Hammad & Liz) are not included in the count. Cryptocurrency
18%
18%
18%
29%
18%
2.0% $1.0 -93
Who will win the Cincinnati Bengals vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Thursday Night Football game on September 17th, 2020 sports
99%
1%
2.0% $1.0 -36
Will Ethereum 2.0 Phase 0 launch before 2021? Cryptocurrency
81%
19%
2.0% $3,081.3 69
Will withdrawal_credentials be able to point to an ETH1 address when Ethereum 2.0 phase 0 is launched? (https://github.com/ethereum/eth2.0-specs/issues/2040) cryptocurrency
24%
76%
2.0% $161.0 38
Will AlexMasmej $ALEX trade below $0.02 on Uniswap V2 at any time during August 2020? Cryptocurrency
31%
69%
2.0% $55.4 -52
Who will win Joe Lubin and Jimmy Song's bet about Ethereum dapp usage? (https://www.pscp.tv/w/1MnxnvWXYEwxO) cryptocurrency
53%
47%
2.0% $40.1 942
When will Ethereum 2.0 Phase 0 launch? Cryptocurrency
4%
4%
4%
5%
9%
39%
18%
2.0% $10,460.1 106
Will Dappcon 2020 happen as planned, in september in Berlin? Cryptocurrency
4%
4%
4%
88%
2.0% $123.2 76
Will ETH trade above $300 on Coinbase any time on November 1st? Cryptocurrency
88%
12%
2.0% $83,625.2 9
Will Ethereum 2.0 Phase 0 launch before 2021? Cryptocurrency
75%
25%
2.0% $185,698.9 69
When will the FDA approve the use of an existing, orally-administered vaccine for the prevention of COVID-19? Coronavirus
9%
9%
9%
9%
65%
0.0% $900.4 100
Will Mike McDonald win the 90/100 free throw challenge? Sports
84%
16%
2.0% $1,456.1 76
Will Akira the Don appear on the Joe Rogan Experience before end of year 2020, PST? Miscellaneous
61%
39%
2.0% $50.0 76
Will the United States of America balkanize or break up before 2021? Miscellaneous
26%
74%
1.5% $49.3 69
Will the outcome "Yes" on this market have less than 25% probability when it's resolved? miscellaneous
80%
20%
2.0% $4.9 -51
Will the Ethereum block gas limit be >= 25,000,000 gas in any block on April 1st 2021? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 160
Will BTC trade at or above $9600.00 USD on Coinbase Pro in July 2020? Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -83
Who will win the NFL 2020 season Week 1 Matchup between the Chiefs and the Texans? sports
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -43
Will MONA coin hit 1 million USD market cap in value at any point in the initial 2 months of their goal? https://www.niftex.com/launches/details/MONA cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 69
Will the French government announce the 2nd lockdown for Coronavirus in France by the end of 2020? News & Politics
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 75
Will Kleros reach at least 1000 disputes before 1 January 2021? Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 76
Who will win the Premier League in 2020-21? sports
13%
13%
13%
13%
13%
13%
13%
2.0% $0.0 217
Will one unit of STAKE token worth $2 on July 25th 2020 Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -84
Will there be an in-person ETH Global Hackathon in 2021? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 434
Will Trump die before the election? news & politics
10%
90%
2.0% $0.0 13
Which Macbook Pro model will be the first to feature the ARM-based Apple chip? Science & Tech
20%
20%
20%
20%
20%
2.0% $0.0 68
Who will win - Link army or Zeus capital? Zeus wins if $LINK drops to 0.01 ETH Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 8
What will the Ethereum block number be on Jan 1, 2021 at 00:00:00 UTC? miscellaneous
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 69
Is Donald Trump’s face orange? news & politics
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -36
Will this market resolve to No? Miscellaneous
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -85
Will the 46th president of the United States be a women? News & Politics
50%
50%
1.5% $0.0 69
Will $IOTX hit 0.01USDT on October 4st 2020 cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -20
Will Binance list Pinakion (PNK) before 31 Dec 2020 11:59pm (UTC +03:00)? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 77
Will Raid Guild ship PreGov? bounty
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -10
Will LEND trade at or above 1$ per token at any point during 2020? Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 76
Will DXswap reach $5,000,000 in Total Value Locked before the year 2021? cryptocurrency
55%
45%
1.0% $0.0 74
Will Coinbase Pro list Synthetix ($SNX) before August? Cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -78
Will DXswap.eth go live at the end of October 2020? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 10
Did Donald Trump call American soldiers killed in battle "losers" and "suckers?" Ref: https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2020/09/trump-americans-who-died-at-war-are-losers-and-suckers/615997/ news & politics
80%
20%
2.0% $0.0 -41
Did Donald Tump lie to the American people about how deadly and dangerous COVID-19 is? news & politics
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 -36
When will any official Apple Mac (Desktop or Notebook) get touchscreen input? Science & Tech
25%
25%
25%
25%
2.0% $0.0 805
What will USDT's market capitalization be by Jan. 1, 2021? cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 75
Will FedEx (NYSE: FDX) beat Q1 2021 Expected EPS (per Robinhood Stats)? business & finance
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 142
Will the DXdao provide liquidity on DXswap.eth at the end of November 2020? cryptocurrency
65%
35%
2.0% $0.0 40
Will Trump get reelected in 2020? News & Politics
50%
50%
1.5% $0.0 11
Who will win Joe Lubin and Jimmy Song's bet about Ethereum dapp usage? (https://www.pscp.tv/w/1MnxnvWXYEwxO) cryptocurrency
50%
50%
2.0% $0.0 942
Will Donald J. Trump win the 2020 U.S. Presidential election? Politics
0%
0%
0%
0.8% $98,352.3 121
Will Donald Trump win the 2020 U.S. Presidential election? Politics
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $37,502.8 108
Who will win the 2020 U.S. Presidential election? Politics
0%
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $10,815.0 90
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2020 election? Politics
0%
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $5,900.0 108
What Will the Total Value Locked (USD) in Defi Be on December 31, 2020? Crypto
0%
0%
0%
0.5% $5,492.0 110
Will the price of ETH/USD, exceed 10000 anytime between the open of August 6, 2020 and close of July 30, 2021, according to TradingView.com "ETHUSD (crypto - Coinbase)"? Crypto
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $1,500.0 312
Will Derek Chauvin be convicted of second-degree murder? Politics
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $1,352.5 313
Will the NASDAQ Composite Index close above 10,000.00 on September 30th, 2020? Economics
0%
0%
0%
0.2% $820.0 9
Will the Effective Federal Funds Rate become negative, at any point between August 8, 2020 and December 31, 2020. Economics
0%
0%
0%
0.8% $600.0 109
NBA: Will the LA Lakers win the 2019-20 NBA Championship? Sports
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $490.0 38
Will the price of BTC/USD, exceed 14000 anytime between the open of July 29, 2020 and close of September 30, 2020, according to TradingView.com "BTCUSD (crypto - Coinbase)"? Crypto
0%
0%
0%
0.5% $200.0 9
Will the price of ETH/USD open at or above 350.00 on December 31, 2020, according to TradingView.com "ETHUSD (crypto - Coinbase)"? Crypto
0%
0%
0%
1.0% $100.0 101